Comments on: Projecting Success

By: Person

Person — Sat, 25 Oct 2008 10:27:50 +0000

Reed says, “Stats tell us why certain players are effective…”

It’s better to use “how.”

There’s a difference between “how” and “why” my friends.

By: wondahbap

wondahbap — Fri, 24 Oct 2008 15:19:21 +0000

Great point Stephen.

By: Stephen

Stephen — Fri, 24 Oct 2008 01:22:39 +0000

What I find rather amusing is Reed uses Hollingers’ PER and has the Lakers winning 62 games while Hollinger has them winning 57 !
Last yr Hollinger underestimated the West by some 14%,so a similar underestimation would have the Lakers w/@64 wins,which is very close to Reeds work. Assuming normal NBA health,I’d predict @ 63-64 wins for the Lakers.
Keep in mind Hollinger strongly values offensive rebounds,high percentage shooting and steals. He only uses box score stats and that leads to some distortions. For example offensive fouls are included(as turnovers) as negatives,but drawing an offensive foul is not included. One could argue that drawning an offensive foul is even better than a steal. While a steal usually leads to a transition-hence higher % shot-an offensive foul drawn impacts the opposition player’s ability to stay in the game. Which would you rather have,Kobe getting stripped twice in the first few minutes,or getting called for 2 charges?

By: Kurt

Kurt — Fri, 24 Oct 2008 00:47:20 +0000

New Bobcats game post up.

By: Kurt

Kurt — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 20:20:18 +0000

Just an update, I will be on the Loose Cannon’s show (570 am) in Los Angeles just after 2 p.m. Listen in as I try to get a word in edgewise with that group.

By: El Harro

El Harro — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 18:40:45 +0000

Oh, and Vlad is on probation, too. I just haven’t seen enough from him to get excited.

By: El Harro

El Harro — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 18:37:47 +0000

I’m a huge Laker homer, but have grave concerns about Bynum’s health. I kniow he looks okey now, and I know his injury isn’t like a microfracture (hello Greg O), but he still has not played many minutes and certainly not over 82 games plus 20ish in the POs. I’ll believe in Bynum in, say, late March.

I would like Kobe to play 30-35 mins per.

By: Kurt

Kurt — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 18:14:11 +0000

24/25. Yes, later today it will go up. Also will have a lot of links around the Web from the last couple of days.

By: hansoulfood

hansoulfood — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 18:04:31 +0000

http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-spw-farmar23-2008oct23,0,7784867.story

Great article about Farmar’s maturation.

This exerpt from the article was weird to me because I’ve been taught that way too:

“Farmar had been taught different fundamentals while playing for Woodland Hills Taft High and at UCLA, including to never jump in the air to make a pass, or dribble to the corner to start an offensive set, or to pick up the dribble before a pass or shot.

But all that is OK under Jackson.”

I know Phil coaches differently, but not THAT different. I was surprise.

By: Kareem

Kareem — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 18:00:19 +0000

errrr, Bobcats.